Accountability & Oversight
Safeguards that actually work
Every legitimate prediction market operates under federal rules designed to protect the integrity of the market and the people using it. Here is what that looks like in practice.
Operational Integrity
Mandatory
Identity verification (KYC)
Every legitimate prediction market operates under federal rules designed to protect the integrity of the market and the people using it. Here is what that looks like in practice.
Federal Oversight
Insider trading prohibition and surveillance
The Commodity Exchange Act and CFTC regulations make trading on material nonpublic information illegal. The same framework that governs securities trading applies here. Government employees are specifically prohibited from trading on information they obtain in their official capacity.
Beyond the legal prohibition, regulated platforms run continuous surveillance systems custom-built for prediction market activity, and they work with independent market integrity firms to detect abuse. When a regulated U.S. platform discovers a problem, it acts — including unwinding contracts at the platform's own expense, as happened with the Iran leadership change contract.
Age Controls
18+ Restricted
Strict age verification is mandatory across all U.S. regulated platforms. Participation is legally restricted to adults, with an average user age of 33, ensuring a mature market ecosystem.
Anti-money-laundering and financial controls
Compliance
Regulated platforms maintain anti-money-laundering compliance programs, suspicious activity monitoring, and financial reporting obligations to federal regulators. Retail customers are not extended credit. Deposit limits and loss-limit tools are available in-app.
Ethical limits on what markets can exist
Zero Tolerance
Regulated prediction markets do not list contracts tied to assassinations, terrorism, or real-world violence. These are hard lines enforced by both platform rules and regulatory oversight. Offshore platforms have repeatedly crossed those lines.
Socure
Industry-leading identity verification, sanctions screening, and politically exposed persons checks.
IC360
Market integrity screening for athletes, insiders, and disqualified participants.
Solidus Labs
Independent surveillance and market abuse monitoring.
Birches Health
Independent surveillance and market abuse monitoring.
