FEDERALLY REGULATED. REAL MARKETS. AMERICAN CHOICE.
YOU should get to decide.
Prediction markets are federally regulated financial exchanges where millions of Americans trade on the outcomes of real-world events. They are transparent, onshore, and built for integrity. We are making sure they stay that way.
A handful of legislators and a gaming lobby want to ban prediction markets outright.
That would not stop a single American from trading.
It would push them offshore — onto unregulated platforms with no identity verification, no consumer protections, no insider trading rules, and no cop on the beat. Americans want choice. We think the answer is strong federal oversight, not a patchwork of bans.
Regulated U.S. PREDICTION MARKETS
CASINO AND ONLINE SPORTSBOOKS
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Licensed and overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
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Regulated by a state-by-state patchwork that incentivizes a race to the bottom
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Supports federal consumer protections
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Spent decades opposing federal consumer protection frameworks
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Operates under federal regulation for market integrity
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Has fought against federal legislation to protect sports market integrity
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Regulated prediction markets do not act as the house. They match buyers and sellers on a peer-to-peer exchange and charge a transparent transaction fee. The platform does not profit when you lose and does not ban you for winning.
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They only win when you lose
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Do not advertise to users on self-exclusion lists
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Legal in states to advertise to those on self-exclusion lists
Federal oversight — not a patchwork — determines accountability.
CORE PROTECTIONS
Safeguards that actually work
Identity Verification
Every user is verified before they can trade. Name, address, social security number, and date of birth. No anonymous accounts.
No Minors
Age limits are enforced at sign-up and monitored on an ongoing basis. The average user on the largest U.S. platform is 33 years old.
Insider Trading Prohibited
Trading on material nonpublic information is illegal under the Commodity Exchange Act. Platforms run continuous surveillance and work with independent experts to detect abuse.
No Harmful Contracts
Contracts tied to violence, assassination, or terrorism are prohibited outright. Anti-money laundering and anti-fraud controls are built into every licensed platform.
Real-World Applications
Where Markets Meet Reality
Forecasting Elections
In the 2026 Texas Democratic Senate primary, polling averages showed Jasmine Crockett leading nearly the entire race. Prediction markets had James Talarico ahead. The markets were right.
Tracking the Economy
Traders and journalists increasingly cite prediction market prices as a real-time read on Federal Reserve decisions, inflation prints, and jobs reports. Economists have begun using the data as a complement to traditional forecasts.
Covering Global Events
Major news outlets — including CNBC, FOX News and CNN, which partners with a prediction market — now cite live market odds on weather events, geopolitical developments, and policy decisions. The signal is faster than punditry and more accountable than polling.